LaLiga · Matchday 5
Matchday 5 completed
LaLiga MD5 Results and Prediction Review
LaLiga Matchday 5: all 10 final scores verified by 16 September 2026. 4 predictions called the correct result, with no exact scores; 6 missed.
By Jim · Updated
LaLiga Matchday 5: all 10 final scores verified by 16 September 2026. 4 predictions called the correct result, with no exact scores; 6 missed.
The nine results published on 14 September came from ScoreSocial's API-Football records; Villarreal–Betis was settled on 16 September from LaLiga's official results. The scores and model labels published on 11 September are unchanged. Exact scores are included in the correct-result count. The original preview below is a dated pre-match record. See the full prediction accuracy archive.
Verified results
| Fixture | Published prediction | Final score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla v Valencia | 2–1 | 1–0 | Correct result |
| Racing Santander v Alaves | 1–2 | 2–1 | Miss |
| Osasuna v Espanyol | 1–0 | 0–2 | Miss |
| Athletic Club v Elche | 2–1 | 1–1 | Miss |
| Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 | 4–1 | Correct result |
| Celta Vigo v Malaga | 1–0 | 1–1 | Miss |
| Levante v Barcelona | 1–3 | 2–4 | Correct result |
| Getafe v Deportivo La Coruna | 1–0 | 1–1 | Miss |
| Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid | 1–2 | 0–3 | Correct result |
| Villarreal v Real Betis | 2–1 | 1–2 | Miss |
Original preview — published before kickoff
LaLiga Matchday 5 runs from Friday 11 to Monday 14 September 2026. Real Madrid v Rayo and Levante v Barcelona feature in the ten-match card. Jim's score predictions are now included below, using the authenticated editorial-score-v3.2 output captured on 11 September. They are opinions, not confirmed results.
LaLiga's official Matchday 5 schedule confirms all 10 fixtures. Its scheduling notice states that the round begins with Sevilla–Valencia and ends with Villarreal–Betis. ScoreSocial's live card was checked on 10 September and closes at Friday's first active kickoff.
Matchday 5 at a glance
- Friday opener: Sevilla v Valencia.
- Leaders: Barcelona have four wins and a +15 goal difference.
- Headline contest: Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid matches ninth and seventh.
- Monday finale: Villarreal host fourth-placed Real Betis.
- Prediction status: all 10 v3.2 scores are recorded below, with low-confidence calls identified.
View every score prediction and explanation, join the LaLiga prediction league, or review the completed Matchday 4 article.
What matters this matchday?
LaLiga Matchday 5 begins with Sevilla–Valencia on Friday 11 September and ends with Villarreal–Betis on Monday. LaLiga's official schedule confirms the ten pairings, and its timing announcement fixes the four-day sequence. Barcelona lead with four wins and visit Levante; Real Madrid host Rayo after taking nine points. Sevilla–Valencia supplies the widest early table contrast, while Real Sociedad–Atletico is much tighter once Sociedad's extra match is considered. Deportivo's unbeaten start gives the visitors a real case at Getafe, and Betis travel to winless Villarreal. Friday's opener closes the entire ScoreSocial card. The authenticated editorial-score-v3.2 card now supplies all ten scores, including Real Madrid 3–0 Rayo and Levante 1–3 Barcelona. Getafe–Deportivo is much less secure, with just three percentage points covering all three outcomes. The explanations distinguish a tentative selection from a clear favourite. Confirmed lineups are not yet incorporated, and the scores remain opinions rather than results.
Table snapshot before Matchday 5
| Pos | Club | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 4 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 | Alaves | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Deportivo La Coruna | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Atletico Madrid | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 11 | Levante | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 4 | +1 | 4 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Getafe | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Villarreal | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga | 4 | -6 | 2 |
| 19 | Elche | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 | Valencia | 4 | -8 | 1 |
This ScoreSocial table calculation was checked on 10 September after the settled Matchday 4 results. Real Sociedad and Celta have played one extra game, so raw position needs that schedule context.
Confirmed Matchday 5 fixtures
Friday 11 September: Sevilla v Valencia.
Saturday 12 September: Racing Santander v Alaves; Osasuna v Espanyol; Athletic Club v Elche; Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano.
Sunday 13 September: Celta Vigo v Malaga; Levante v Barcelona; Getafe v Deportivo La Coruna; Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid.
Monday 14 September: Villarreal v Real Betis.
The pairing and times are published in LaLiga's official scheduling announcement. Late changes should be checked against the live card.
ScoreSocial fixture predictions
Predictions were rerun through the authenticated editorial-score-v3.2 viewer on 11 September 2026, before kickoff. It combines venue scoring and conceding rates, recent results, available same-competition previous-season evidence and API-Football/Scorebot signals. It selects the leading home/draw/away outcome, then a score within that outcome. Low confidence can reflect a thin sample or conflicting inputs, even when the leading percentage is high. These are Jim's published model-assisted selections, not guaranteed results or a demonstrated accuracy improvement. Availability reporting retains its stated review date; confirmed lineups and individual absences are not directly priced into these scores.
| Fixture | Predicted score | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Sevilla v Valencia | 2-1 | Sevilla's seven points against Valencia's one favour the hosts; the model keeps the margin narrow rather than repeating Valencia's worst defeat. H/D/A 48/32/20%; model goals 1.79–1.18; confidence low; exact-score probability 9.38%. |
| Racing Santander v Alaves | 1-2 | Alaves' stronger opening keeps the away selection, but only two percentage points separate it from the draw. Racing are very much in this game. H/D/A 32/33/35%; model goals 1.49–1.47; confidence low; exact-score probability 8.74%. |
| Osasuna v Espanyol | 1-0 | Osasuna's stronger recent sequence and home venue give them the edge. The goal estimates point to a restrained game rather than a comfortable home win. H/D/A 46/35/19%; model goals 1.46–0.92; confidence low; exact-score probability 11.27%. |
| Athletic Club v Elche | 2-1 | Athletic have the sounder baseline against struggling Elche. The model still allows an away goal, so this is not a confident clean-sheet call. H/D/A 50/32/18%; model goals 1.91–1.18; confidence low; exact-score probability 9.22%. |
| Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano | 3-0 | Madrid's home scoring baseline now supports a wider margin. Rayo still have a route to goal: the chosen clean sheet is much less likely than the home result overall. H/D/A 68/24/8%; model goals 2.98–0.99; confidence low; exact-score probability 7.51%. |
| Celta Vigo v Malaga | 1-0 | Celta's home venue edges two struggling sides. Their recent draws are a good reason not to mistake this narrow selection for a firm favourite. H/D/A 46/35/19%; model goals 1.51–0.97; confidence low; exact-score probability 10.44%. |
| Levante v Barcelona | 1-3 | Barcelona's scoring baseline and perfect start support a bigger away margin. Levante's home goal estimate remains material, so this is not a shutout prediction. H/D/A 9/28/63%; model goals 1.35–2.91; confidence low; exact-score probability 6.93%. |
| Getafe v Deportivo La Coruna | 1-0 | The venue-adjusted scoring model narrowly prefers Getafe despite Deportivo's better start. Just three points cover all three outcomes; this reverses the earlier away pick without creating a strong favourite. H/D/A 35/33/32%; model goals 1.1–1.04; confidence low; exact-score probability 11.38%. |
| Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid | 1-2 | Atletico retain a very small away edge. The goal estimates are almost level, and the draw sits only three points behind: this is one of the round's least secure selections. H/D/A 31/33/36%; model goals 1.47–1.5; confidence low; exact-score probability 8.84%. |
| Villarreal v Real Betis | 2-1 | Betis have the better opening record, but the venue scoring model now narrowly prefers Villarreal. That disagreement is explicit; the home call is not evidence that recent form has stopped mattering. H/D/A 39/30/31%; model goals 2.07–1.72; confidence low; exact-score probability 6.04%. |
Make your own selections in the LaLiga prediction league. The same score card is recorded in the prediction-results archive; settled predictions will not be rewritten.
Match-by-match guide
Sevilla v Valencia
Sevilla are sixth with seven points; Valencia are bottom with one and a -8 goal difference. The current form gap is the clearest on Friday, but exact margin evidence must still be assessed rather than copying Valencia's heaviest defeat.
Racing Santander v Alaves
Alaves begin second with 10 points and three wins in four. Racing are 13th and have alternated results. The away direction is credible, while a promoted home side and early-season uncertainty keep the result from being treated as automatic.
Osasuna v Espanyol
Osasuna have seven points and two recent wins; Espanyol have four after back-to-back defeats. Home advantage strengthens Osasuna's position, though both clubs' goal differences remain close enough for draw risk to matter.
Athletic Club v Elche
Athletic have six points despite two losses, while Elche have one point and sit 19th. The table favours the hosts. The final goal estimate should test whether Elche's defensive issues imply a clean sheet or a broader scoring range.
Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano
Madrid are third with nine points; Rayo are 14th. The provider signal strongly favours the home side. Rayo's recent win prevents a purely reputation-based call, but the position and goal-difference contrast is still substantial.
Celta Vigo v Malaga
Celta have drawn three of five and sit 16th; Malaga are 18th with two points. This is a high-draw-risk match between teams seeking a first strong run. Home advantage creates only a modest separation.
Levante v Barcelona
Barcelona have scored freely and won all four. Levante are 11th and have shown some resistance. The leaders deserve the away direction, while the final exact score should not automatically repeat their +15 goal-difference average.
Getafe v Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo are fifth and unbeaten in four; Getafe are 15th. The visitors carry the better form, but Getafe's home venue and the relatively narrow model separation mean this remains less straightforward than the table alone suggests.
Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid
Only goal difference separates the two on seven points, although Sociedad have played one more match. Atletico's stronger recent sequence and away status pull in opposite directions. This should be one of the round's lowest-confidence result calls.
Villarreal v Real Betis
Betis are fourth on nine points; Villarreal are 17th and winless. Current evidence favours the visitors, yet the Monday away venue means the final probability and goal-total checks remain important.
How to read these scores
The scores above are the model's selected outcomes, not promises. An exact score typically has a much lower probability than the corresponding home win, draw or away win. The low-confidence rows identify tight decisions and disagreements between current form and the provider. Existing fixture and form evidence was reviewed alongside the output; no unsupported availability claim has been added. Read the methodology and accuracy record before comparing these picks with your own.
Injuries and availability
No complete official league-wide injury list was available at the 10 September check. Named absences will be added only from LaLiga or club communications. Users should revisit close to Friday's deadline; a late postponement will be marked void rather than left as a required prediction.
What matters for predictors
- Sevilla–Valencia and Real Madrid–Rayo show the widest current table contrasts.
- Sociedad–Atletico is tightly balanced after accounting for matches played.
- Barcelona's strong scoring start supports the away direction at Levante, but not an automatic large margin.
- Villarreal–Betis closes Monday, but entries lock with Friday's opener.
Sources reviewed
- Official LaLiga Matchday 5 schedule
- LaLiga Matchday 5 scheduling announcement
- Official LaLiga results
Fact-check date: 10 September 2026 for fixture, form and availability reporting. Model predictions were revised separately on 11 September; confirmed lineups are not incorporated.
Prediction revision: 11 September 2026. Scores and probabilities above replace the pre-kickoff v3.1 selections; the earlier capture remains archived. No started fixture or recorded result was changed.
Results update: 16 September 2026. Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis completed the round; the original 2–1 prediction remains preserved as a miss.