Serie A · Matchday 4
Matchday 4 completed
Serie A MD4 Results and Prediction Review
Serie A Matchday 4: all 10 final scores verified by 16 September 2026. 5 predictions called the correct result, including 1 exact score; 5 missed.
By Jim · Updated
Serie A Matchday 4: all 10 final scores verified by 16 September 2026. 5 predictions called the correct result, including 1 exact score; 5 missed.
The seven results published on 14 September came from ScoreSocial's API-Football records; the three Monday finals were settled on 16 September from official club reports. The scores and model labels published on 11 September are unchanged. Exact scores are included in the correct-result count. The original preview below is a dated pre-match record. See the full prediction accuracy archive.
Verified results
| Fixture | Published prediction | Final score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia v Fiorentina | 1–0 | 2–4 | Miss |
| Sassuolo v Juventus | 0–1 | 3–2 | Miss |
| Atalanta v Cagliari | 0–0 | 1–2 | Miss |
| Lecce v Monza | 1–1 | 3–2 | Miss |
| Napoli v Bologna | 1–0 | 1–0 | Exact score |
| Lazio v Milan | 1–1 | 2–2 | Correct result |
| Como v Parma | 2–0 | 2–1 | Correct result |
| Torino v Roma | 1–2 | 0–2 | Correct result |
| Inter v Udinese | 2–1 | 5–3 | Correct result |
| Genoa v Frosinone | 0–2 | 1–1 | Miss |
Original preview — published before kickoff
Serie A Matchday 4 runs from Friday 11 to Monday 14 September 2026. Lazio v Milan and Torino v Roma headline the ten-match card. Jim's score predictions are now included below, using nine v3.2 outputs captured on 11 September and the retained Como–Parma v3.1 score. They are opinions, not confirmed results.
Lega Serie A's official Matchday 4 schedule confirms all 10 fixtures and explains changes made around European commitments. ScoreSocial's provider-linked card was checked on 10 September, with the first active Friday kickoff setting the entry deadline.
Matchday 4 at a glance
- Friday opener: Venezia v Fiorentina.
- Saturday headline: third-placed Lazio host sixth-placed Milan.
- Sunday focus: Napoli v Bologna and Sassuolo v Juventus.
- Monday finish: Torino v Roma, Como v Parma and Inter v Udinese.
- Prediction status: nine v3.2 scores and the retained Como–Parma v3.1 score are recorded below, with low-confidence calls identified.
View every score prediction and explanation, enter the Serie A prediction league, or read the completed Matchday 3 review.
What matters this matchday?
Serie A Matchday 4 starts with Venezia–Fiorentina on Friday 11 September and finishes with Inter–Udinese on Monday. Lega Serie A's official schedule confirms all ten games and explains changes around European fixtures; the official referee list verifies the final sequence. Roma, Inter and Lazio have nine points. Lazio–Milan is the round's strongest balanced matchup, while Roma's trip to Torino and Inter's home game against Udinese show clearer current directions. Frosinone's six points make the away case at winless Genoa evidence-based, not a novelty pick. Venezia–Fiorentina pairs two winless sides and carries substantial uncertainty. European recovery affects Inter, Napoli, Roma and Como, so confirmed selections matter. The first Friday kickoff closes ScoreSocial entry. The rerun supplies nine v3.2 picks; Como–Parma retains its earlier v3.1 score because venue evidence is missing. Lazio 1–1 Milan reflects their similar scoring estimates, while Torino 1–2 Roma retains the away direction, and Atalanta–Cagliari is nearly evenly split. These pre-lineup forecasts retain explicit uncertainty; no exact result is guaranteed.
Table snapshot before Matchday 4
| Pos | Club | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 3 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 | Inter | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 | Lazio | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | Como | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Juventus | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 | Milan | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Udinese | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Napoli | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Torino | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Lecce | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Bologna | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Parma | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Monza | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Venezia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 3 | -8 | 0 |
This ScoreSocial snapshot was calculated after all Matchday 3 results and checked on 10 September. Three matches give a useful current baseline, but not enough to erase longer-term team strength.
Confirmed Matchday 4 fixtures
Friday 11 September: Venezia v Fiorentina.
Saturday 12 September: Genoa v Frosinone; Lazio v Milan; Atalanta v Cagliari.
Sunday 13 September: Lecce v Monza; Napoli v Bologna; Sassuolo v Juventus.
Monday 14 September: Torino v Roma; Como v Parma; Inter v Udinese.
The official referee and fixture announcement confirms the revised dates and kickoff sequence. The app remains the authority for ScoreSocial's live entry state.
ScoreSocial fixture predictions
Predictions were rerun through the authenticated editorial-score-v3.2 viewer on 11 September 2026, before kickoff. It combines venue scoring and conceding rates, recent results, available same-competition previous-season evidence and API-Football/Scorebot signals. It selects the leading home/draw/away outcome, then a score within that outcome. Low confidence can reflect a thin sample or conflicting inputs, even when the leading percentage is high. These are Jim's published model-assisted selections, not guaranteed results or a demonstrated accuracy improvement. Availability reporting retains its stated review date; confirmed lineups and individual absences are not directly priced into these scores. Como–Parma retains its earlier 2-0 v3.1 prediction because v3.2 has no usable current-season home sample for Como.
| Fixture | Predicted score | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia v Fiorentina | 1-0 | Home advantage tips a meeting of two winless teams towards Venezia. Fiorentina's defensive start supports a narrow home call, not high confidence in either side. H/D/A 48/34/18%; model goals 1.61–0.98; confidence low; exact-score probability 9.93%. |
| Sassuolo v Juventus | 0-1 | Juventus' unbeaten start supplies the away lean. The model expects a restrained total, while Sassuolo's home resistance leaves substantial draw risk. H/D/A 20/35/45%; model goals 0.91–1.39; confidence low; exact-score probability 12.06%. |
| Atalanta v Cagliari | 0-0 | The provider leans towards Cagliari while the local form view prefers Atalanta. The reconciled model puts a low-scoring draw first, not a decisive advantage for either side. H/D/A 33/37/30%; model goals 1.02–0.88; confidence low; exact-score probability 17.27%. |
| Lecce v Monza | 1-1 | Lecce's better start does not translate into a clear scoring advantage. The draw leads by a single percentage point, with both teams still capable of winning. H/D/A 33/34/33%; model goals 1.2–1.3; confidence low; exact-score probability 16.23%. |
| Napoli v Bologna | 1-0 | Napoli's home venue and better goal difference edge two slow starters. European recovery tempers the margin; a narrow win fits better than reputation-led optimism. H/D/A 41/35/24%; model goals 1.42–1.11; confidence low; exact-score probability 9.63%. |
| Lazio v Milan | 1-1 | Lazio's perfect start meets unbeaten Milan. Almost identical goal estimates now favour a draw rather than the earlier Lazio win. H/D/A 34/36/30%; model goals 1.09–1.09; confidence low; exact-score probability 16.73%. |
| Como v Parma | 2-0 | V3.1 retained. Como's existing 2-0 is unchanged: v3.2 cannot return a score without the required current-season home sample. This is not a new v3.2 prediction. |
| Torino v Roma | 1-2 | Roma's nine points and +9 goal difference favour an away win. Their European recovery and Torino's home venue keep the forecast to a narrow margin. H/D/A 10/32/58%; model goals 0.96–2.09; confidence low; exact-score probability 9.12%. |
| Inter v Udinese | 2-1 | Inter's three wins make them the favourite. Udinese's scoring allowance and possible European rotation stop the model from assuming a shutout. H/D/A 57/31/12%; model goals 2.54–1.39; confidence low; exact-score probability 8%. |
| Genoa v Frosinone | 0-2 | Frosinone's six points contrast with Genoa's winless start. Their venue scoring baseline supports a two-goal away margin, although the thin sample still limits confidence. H/D/A 13/31/56%; model goals 0.94–1.96; confidence low; exact-score probability 9.5%. |
Make your own selections in the Serie A prediction league. The same score card is recorded in the prediction-results archive; settled predictions will not be rewritten.
Match-by-match guide
Venezia v Fiorentina
Both clubs have lost all three league matches. Fiorentina's -8 goal difference is the division's lowest, while Venezia are only slightly better. Home advantage creates a narrow separator, but neither side's current evidence supports a confident result.
Genoa v Frosinone
Genoa are 19th without a point. Frosinone are seventh after two wins and a positive goal difference. The away direction is unusually strong by current form, although promoted-team and away-game uncertainty still affect the exact margin.
Lazio v Milan
Lazio have three wins; Milan are unbeaten with seven points. This is Saturday's highest-quality matchup. The home side's perfect start meets Milan's balanced record, so the final score should reflect genuine draw pressure rather than forcing separation.
Atalanta v Cagliari
Both have six points. Atalanta's recent results are more attacking, while Cagliari have alternated wins and a loss. Home advantage gives Atalanta a modest edge, but the table offers no large quality gap.
Lecce v Monza
Lecce are 14th with three points; Monza are 17th with one. Both have lost twice. The home side have the stronger baseline, though a low-scoring or drawn outcome remains plausible without more attacking evidence.
Napoli v Bologna
Napoli have three points after two defeats; Bologna have one. Reputation points toward Napoli, but the current-season record demands caution. Their home venue and goal difference are the real evidence available before final team news.
Sassuolo v Juventus
Juventus are unbeaten on seven points; Sassuolo have four. The visitors carry the stronger form and position, but Sassuolo have already produced competitive home evidence. Expected goals and confirmed European recovery will shape the exact score.
Torino v Roma
Roma lead with nine points and a +9 goal difference. Torino have three points after two defeats. This is Monday's clearest away direction, though Roma's European schedule was one reason the fixture moved and may influence selection.
Como v Parma
Como are fourth and unbeaten; Parma are 16th with one point. The table contrast supports the hosts. Como's European recovery is relevant, so the final lineup check matters before turning the direction into a score.
Inter v Udinese
Inter have three wins and nine goals; Udinese have four points. The home side own a strong baseline, but they also play in Europe during the week. Rotation and late availability can alter the expected margin without changing the favourite.
How to read these scores
The scores above are the model's selected outcomes, not promises. An exact score typically has a much lower probability than the corresponding home win, draw or away win. The low-confidence rows identify tight decisions and disagreements between current form and the provider. Existing fixture and form evidence was reviewed alongside the output; no unsupported availability claim has been added. Read the methodology and accuracy record before comparing these picks with your own.
Injuries, Europe and availability
The league explicitly rescheduled several matches around European games: Inter faced Real Madrid, Napoli hosted Arsenal, while Roma and Como had Thursday fixtures. That recovery gap is verified by the Lega Serie A scheduling report. Named absences will only be added from official club or league sources.
What matters for predictors
- Lazio–Milan is balanced despite Lazio's perfect start.
- Roma, Inter and Como have strong table directions but short European recovery.
- Frosinone's six points make the away case at winless Genoa evidence-based.
- Venezia–Fiorentina is a cautious meeting of two winless sides rather than a predictable favourite.
Sources reviewed
- Lega Serie A Matchday 4 schedule
- Official Matchday 4 referees and kickoff list
- Parma: Como 2–1 Parma
- Torino: Torino 0–2 Roma
- Udinese: Inter 5–3 Udinese
Fact-check date: 10 September 2026 for fixture, form and availability reporting. Model predictions were revised separately on 11 September; confirmed lineups are not incorporated.
Prediction revision: 11 September 2026. Scores and probabilities above replace the pre-kickoff v3.1 selections; the earlier capture remains archived. No started fixture or recorded result was changed.
Results update: 16 September 2026. The three Monday finals completed the round; all original scores and model labels remain preserved.