Serie A · Matchday 5
Matchday 5 completed
Serie A MD5 Results and Prediction Review
All 10 Serie A Matchday 5 finals verified. 5 published predictions got the result right, including 2 exact scores.
By Jim · Updated
Serie A Matchday 5: all 10 final scores were verified on 21 September 2026. 5 published predictions got the result right, including 2 exact scores.
The production fixture record links every final below to a verified API-Football fixture ID. The predictions and methodology labels published before kickoff remain unchanged, so this review can be audited against the prediction-results archive.
Verified results
| Fixture | Published prediction | Final score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza v Sassuolo | 2–1 | 2–1 | Exact score |
| Bologna v Torino | 0–1 | 1–1 | Miss |
| Udinese v Cagliari | 0–1 | 0–1 | Exact score |
| Roma v Inter | 1–0 | 2–2 | Miss |
| Venezia v Lazio | 0–1 | 0–2 | Correct result |
| Fiorentina v Napoli | 0–2 | 1–1 | Miss |
| Frosinone v Como | 1–2 | 2–0 | Miss |
| Parma v Genoa | 0–0 | 2–1 | Miss |
| Juventus v Atalanta | 1–0 | 2–0 | Correct result |
| Milan v Lecce | 1–0 | 3–0 | Correct result |
Original preview — published before kickoff
Serie A Matchday 5 runs from Friday 18 to Sunday 20 September 2026. Monza v Sassuolo opens the round, Roma v Inter is Saturday's headline game, and Milan v Lecce shapes the Sunday finish. This final page verifies the card and publishes ten reviewed v3.2 exact-score selections.
The published programme is listed in the Matchday 5 scheduling report, while Inter's official season calendar confirms Roma v Inter and the weekend. ScoreSocial's in-app card remains the final deadline reference.
Matchday 5 at a glance
- Friday opener: Monza v Sassuolo.
- Saturday headline: Roma v Inter at the Olimpico.
- Saturday late game: Venezia v Lazio.
- Sunday focus: Fiorentina v Napoli and Juventus v Atalanta.
- Round close: Milan v Lecce.
- Prediction status: all ten provider-linked v3.2 scores are reviewed, published and frozen below.
Open the Serie A prediction league, revisit the completed Matchday 4 review, or check all published prediction results.
What matters this matchday?
Serie A Matchday 5 is scheduled from Friday 18 to Sunday 20 September. The current published programme includes Monza–Sassuolo, Roma–Inter, Venezia–Lazio, Fiorentina–Napoli, Juventus–Atalanta and Milan–Lecce. The league calendar confirms the season context. Roma and Inter enter the headline fixture after contrasting Matchday 4 finals: Roma won 2–0 at Torino, while Inter beat Udinese 5–3. Those verified results shape the current forecast, but one round does not determine the next exact score by itself. Several clubs also had European commitments, making recovery relevant only where the schedule or official team news supports it. ScoreSocial now has the verified provider-linked operational card and Jim has reviewed the recommendation set. Every published score is now part of the immutable accuracy record, while the probabilities show how much uncertainty remains in each call. Players should check the app for the actual entry deadline.
Confirmed fixture card
Friday 18 September: Monza v Sassuolo.
Saturday 19 September: Bologna v Torino; Udinese v Cagliari; Roma v Inter; Venezia v Lazio.
Sunday 20 September: Fiorentina v Napoli; Frosinone v Como; Parma v Genoa; Juventus v Atalanta; Milan v Lecce.
The official Matchday 5 bulletin confirms the complete ten-match programme. Users should still recheck the competition schedule before entry.
Fixture-by-fixture outlook
Monza v Sassuolo
The 2-1 prediction backs Monza. Monza's win probability is 37%, compared with 29% for a draw and 34% for Sassuolo. The small gap between the leading outcomes makes this a low-confidence score call.
Bologna v Torino
The 0-1 prediction backs Torino. Torino's win probability is 38%, compared with 36% for a draw and 26% for Bologna. The small gap between the leading outcomes makes this a low-confidence score call.
Udinese v Cagliari
The 0-1 prediction backs Cagliari. Cagliari's win probability is 36%, compared with 32% for a draw and 32% for Udinese. The small gap between the leading outcomes makes this a low-confidence score call.
Roma v Inter
The 1-0 prediction backs Roma. Roma's win probability is 34%, compared with 34% for a draw and 32% for Inter. The small gap between the leading outcomes makes this a low-confidence score call.
Venezia v Lazio
The 0-1 prediction backs Lazio. Lazio's win probability is 51%, compared with 36% for a draw and 13% for Venezia. That gives the selection an edge, while the exact score remains a cautious estimate.
Fiorentina v Napoli
The 0-2 prediction backs Napoli. Napoli's win probability is 52%, compared with 33% for a draw and 15% for Fiorentina. That gives the selection an edge, while the exact score remains a cautious estimate.
Frosinone v Como
The 1-2 prediction backs Como. Como's win probability is 44%, compared with 29% for a draw and 27% for Frosinone. That gives the selection an edge, while the exact score remains a cautious estimate.
Parma v Genoa
The 0-0 prediction reflects a close contest. The draw is rated at 35%, compared with 33% for Parma and 32% for Genoa. With no outcome holding a decisive advantage, this remains a cautious score call.
Juventus v Atalanta
The 1-0 prediction backs Juventus. Juventus's win probability is 44%, compared with 31% for a draw and 25% for Atalanta. That gives the selection an edge, while the exact score remains a cautious estimate.
Milan v Lecce
The 1-0 prediction backs Milan. Milan's win probability is 46%, compared with 36% for a draw and 18% for Lecce. That gives the selection an edge, while the exact score remains a cautious estimate.
ScoreSocial fixture predictions
Jim reviewed and froze these editorial-score-v3.2 recommendations on 16 September 2026. The percentages describe the home/draw/away result view, while the exact score is a narrower editorial selection. Most calls remain low confidence because the season is young.
| Fixture | Predicted score | Evidence and confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Monza v Sassuolo | 2-1 | Model: H 37% / D 29% / A 34% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Bologna v Torino | 0-1 | Model: H 26% / D 36% / A 38% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Udinese v Cagliari | 0-1 | Model: H 32% / D 32% / A 36% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Roma v Inter | 1-0 | Model: H 34% / D 34% / A 32% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Venezia v Lazio | 0-1 | Model: H 13% / D 36% / A 51% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Fiorentina v Napoli | 0-2 | Model: H 15% / D 33% / A 52% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Frosinone v Como | 1-2 | Model: H 27% / D 29% / A 44% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Parma v Genoa | 0-0 | Model: H 33% / D 35% / A 32% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Juventus v Atalanta | 1-0 | Model: H 44% / D 31% / A 25% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Milan v Lecce | 1-0 | Model: H 46% / D 36% / A 18% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
Every score is now part of the public prediction record and must not be changed after the first kickoff.
Injuries and availability
No unverified absence has been converted into a numerical input. Readers should check official club updates and the in-app card before the deadline; late team news can change the practical risk without changing this frozen public record.
What the evidence suggests for predictors
The result percentages are more informative than the exact score alone. A low-confidence 2-1 is a narrow choice inside a broad range of plausible outcomes. Use the published probabilities to see where a fixture has a clearer direction and where the draw remains close.
Sources reviewed
- Serie A first-five-matchday scheduling report
- Official Inter 2026/27 calendar
- Lega Serie A 2026/27 calendar announcement
- Official Matchday 5 date and time bulletin
Fact-check date: 16 September 2026. The weekend and published fixture programme are verified; the exact scores are reviewed and frozen; confirmed lineups and the in-app deadline remain live checks.