Premier League · Gameweek 4
Gameweek 4 completed
Premier League GW4 Results and Prediction Review
Premier League Gameweek 4: all 10 final scores verified by 16 September 2026. 5 predictions called the correct result, including 1 exact score; 5 missed.
By Jim · Updated
Premier League Gameweek 4: all 10 final scores verified by 16 September 2026. 5 predictions called the correct result, including 1 exact score; 5 missed.
The nine results published on 14 September came from ScoreSocial's API-Football records; Leeds–Newcastle was settled on 16 September from the linked match report. The scores and model labels published on 11 September are unchanged. Exact scores are included in the correct-result count. The original preview below is a dated pre-match record. See the full prediction accuracy archive.
Verified results
| Fixture | Published prediction | Final score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest | 1–2 | 1–2 | Exact score |
| Bournemouth v Brentford | 1–1 | 2–2 | Correct result |
| Chelsea v Hull City | 2–1 | 2–2 | Miss |
| Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town | 2–1 | 2–3 | Miss |
| Liverpool v Fulham | 1–0 | 0–0 | Miss |
| Tottenham Hotspur v Everton | 0–1 | 0–0 | Miss |
| Sunderland v Arsenal | 0–1 | 0–2 | Correct result |
| Coventry City v Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–2 | 0–5 | Correct result |
| Manchester United v Manchester City | 1–2 | 0–1 | Correct result |
| Leeds United v Newcastle United | 0–1 | 4–1 | Miss |
Original preview — published before kickoff
Premier League Gameweek 4 runs from Saturday 12 to Monday 14 September 2026. Manchester United v Manchester City leads a ten-match card, with Sunderland v Arsenal another key test. Jim's score predictions are now included below, using the authenticated editorial-score-v3.2 output captured on 11 September. They are opinions, not confirmed results.
The official Premier League fixture list confirms the 10-match card and its broadcast changes. The ScoreSocial operational card was checked on 10 September; its entry deadline is the first active Saturday kickoff shown in the app. Users should still recheck that time before submitting because the competition states that fixtures remain subject to change.
Gameweek 4 at a glance
- Headline match: Manchester United v Manchester City on Sunday.
- Leaders on the road: Arsenal visit Sunderland on Saturday evening.
- Unbeaten sides: Arsenal and Manchester City begin with three wins; Liverpool and Newcastle are also unbeaten.
- Pressure point: Fulham and Coventry remain without a point after three matches.
- Prediction status: all 10 v3.2 scores are recorded below, with low-confidence calls identified.
View every score prediction and explanation or open the Premier League prediction league before the first active kickoff. The completed Gameweek 3 review preserves the previous predictions and results.
What matters this gameweek?
Premier League Gameweek 4 begins on Saturday 12 September, and all ScoreSocial entries close with the first active kickoff rather than Sunday's Manchester derby. The official Premier League schedule confirms seven Saturday games, two on Sunday and Leeds–Newcastle on Monday. Arsenal and Manchester City have three wins; Liverpool and Newcastle are also unbeaten, while Fulham and Coventry remain without a point. Sunderland–Arsenal tests the leaders away, Chelsea–Hull asks whether the promoted side's seven-point start can survive a difficult venue, and Tottenham–Everton carries genuine away and draw evidence. The Gameweek 4 fixture page confirms the revised sequence. The authenticated editorial-score-v3.2 run now supplies ten score predictions, including a cautious 1–2 City derby win. The explanations separate the chosen score from the probability of winning: several matches have only a small gap between a win and a draw. These are pre-lineup opinions, not verified outcomes or guaranteed returns.
Table snapshot before Gameweek 4
| Pos | Club | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 | Hull City | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 | Brentford | 3 | +3 | 5 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 3 | +2 | 5 |
| 7 | Newcastle United | 3 | +2 | 5 |
| 8 | Everton | 3 | +2 | 5 |
| 9 | Leeds United | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 10 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | +3 | 4 |
| 11 | Manchester United | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 19 | Fulham | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Coventry City | 3 | -5 | 0 |
This ScoreSocial snapshot was calculated from all settled Gameweek 3 results and checked on 10 September. With only three matches played, position is useful context rather than a settled measure of team strength.
Confirmed Gameweek 4 fixtures
Saturday 12 September: Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest; Bournemouth v Brentford; Chelsea v Hull City; Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town; Liverpool v Fulham; Tottenham Hotspur v Everton; Sunderland v Arsenal.
Sunday 13 September: Coventry City v Brighton & Hove Albion; Manchester United v Manchester City.
Monday 14 September: Leeds United v Newcastle United.
The Premier League's published schedule lists the same pairings. The operational card currently opens with the Saturday group, so participants should not wait for Sunday's derby to enter the round.
ScoreSocial fixture predictions
Predictions were rerun through the authenticated editorial-score-v3.2 viewer on 11 September 2026, before kickoff. It combines venue scoring and conceding rates, recent results, available same-competition previous-season evidence and API-Football/Scorebot signals. It selects the leading home/draw/away outcome, then a score within that outcome. Low confidence can reflect a thin sample or conflicting inputs, even when the leading percentage is high. These are Jim's published model-assisted selections, not guaranteed results or a demonstrated accuracy improvement. Availability reporting retains its stated review date; confirmed lineups and individual absences are not directly priced into these scores.
| Fixture | Predicted score | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest | 1-2 | Forest retain a slight edge over Villa, with a visiting goal estimate that now supports 1-2. The draw is close enough to make this a fragile away selection. H/D/A 27/34/39%; model goals 1.23–1.43; confidence low; exact-score probability 8.92%. |
| Bournemouth v Brentford | 1-1 | Brentford's unbeaten opening meets Bournemouth's draw-heavy start. The revised goal estimates are almost identical, with the draw just ahead of an away win. H/D/A 31/35/34%; model goals 1.21–1.2; confidence low; exact-score probability 16.65%. |
| Chelsea v Hull City | 2-1 | Chelsea retain the home edge, but Hull's seven points make them a genuine test. Both scoring estimates allow a competitive game rather than a routine home win. H/D/A 41/33/26%; model goals 1.61–1.33; confidence low; exact-score probability 9.18%. |
| Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town | 2-1 | Palace's recovery at Fulham nudges the home choice between two vulnerable sides. The model allows goals at both ends, and its separate signals do not all agree. H/D/A 39/32/29%; model goals 1.7–1.55; confidence low; exact-score probability 8.84%. |
| Liverpool v Fulham | 1-0 | Liverpool's unbeaten start against Fulham's three defeats supports the home result. A lower Fulham goal estimate moves the selected score to a narrow clean-sheet win. H/D/A 53/32/15%; model goals 1.72–0.89; confidence low; exact-score probability 10.65%. |
| Tottenham Hotspur v Everton | 0-1 | Everton's unbeaten opening contrasts with Tottenham's one point. The scoring baseline favours a tight away win, with substantial draw risk remaining. H/D/A 18/35/47%; model goals 0.86–1.43; confidence low; exact-score probability 12.49%. |
| Sunderland v Arsenal | 0-1 | Arsenal's three wins support the away direction. The restrained goal estimates make a narrow margin plausible, but the draw remains close. H/D/A 17/39/44%; model goals 0.71–1.17; confidence low; exact-score probability 16.23%. |
| Coventry City v Brighton & Hove Albion | 1-2 | Brighton have the stronger start against pointless Coventry. Their own defensive uncertainty keeps a home goal in the forecast. H/D/A 28/33/39%; model goals 1.34–1.53; confidence low; exact-score probability 8.97%. |
| Manchester United v Manchester City | 1-2 | City's perfect start and stronger scoring estimate give them the derby edge. United's home goal threat prevents this becoming a comfortable away-win forecast. H/D/A 25/31/44%; model goals 1.67–2.08; confidence low; exact-score probability 8.2%. |
| Leeds United v Newcastle United | 0-1 | Newcastle's defensive baseline nudges the away selection. Just one percentage point separates it from the draw; the displayed score hides a very close decision. H/D/A 27/36/37%; model goals 1.02–1.16; confidence low; exact-score probability 12.09%. |
Make your own selections in the Premier League prediction league. The same score card is recorded in the prediction-results archive; settled predictions will not be rewritten.
Match-by-match guide
Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest
Villa have one point and the lowest early goal difference among the home sides on Saturday. Forest have two points after drawing with Liverpool and Tottenham. The current evidence makes this much closer than preseason reputation might suggest; a single home match should not overturn three rounds of limited attacking return.
Bournemouth v Brentford
Brentford are fifth and unbeaten, while Bournemouth have two draws after losing their opener. The visitors' stronger start matters, but two of Bournemouth's three results were level. That combination makes draw risk central to interpreting the narrow away forecast.
Chelsea v Hull City
Hull's seven points and positive goal difference are one of the season's clearest early surprises. Chelsea have six points and a wider scoring range. This is a useful test of whether promoted-team form survives a difficult away venue, not a fixture that should be settled by badge size.
Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town
Palace recovered from two defeats by winning at Fulham, whereas Ipswich lost to Liverpool after their opening win. Both have conceded heavily enough to prevent a confident clean-sheet assumption. Confirmed defensive availability will matter more than generic season expectations.
Liverpool v Fulham
Liverpool remain unbeaten with two draws and a win. Fulham have lost all three and conceded six. The home direction is therefore strong at the evidence level, but the revised 1–0 forecast favours a restrained home win, not guaranteed control.
Tottenham Hotspur v Everton
Tottenham have one point after a difficult start; Everton are eighth and unbeaten. The provider snapshot currently gives the away side the stronger directional signal. Home advantage and squad quality stop that from becoming certainty, especially when the sample remains three games.
Sunderland v Arsenal
Arsenal have three wins and the joint-best goal difference. Sunderland have four points and have already shown they can defend a narrow lead. The visitors deserve favouritism, but the evening kickoff and Sunderland's home resistance require a more careful score estimate than simply repeating Arsenal's previous result.
Coventry City v Brighton & Hove Albion
Coventry are yet to earn a point. Brighton have four points and have been involved in games with a wider goal range. The away side have the stronger current direction, although their own defensive record means both-team scoring evidence must be checked again when interpreting the recorded score.
Manchester United v Manchester City
City arrive level on points with Arsenal after three wins; United have four points after an uneven opening. The derby creates the round's biggest search and supporter interest, but rivalry matches can compress differences visible elsewhere. The model now leans 1–2 to City; confirmed lineups are not yet incorporated, and the away chance is only 44%.
Leeds United v Newcastle United
Leeds have five points and remain competitive at home. Newcastle are unbeaten on five points and have conceded fewer. Monday's isolated kickoff gives both clubs more preparation time, but ScoreSocial entries will already be locked by the first active Saturday game.
How to read these scores
The scores above are the model's selected outcomes, not promises. An exact score typically has a much lower probability than the corresponding home win, draw or away win. The low-confidence rows identify tight decisions and disagreements between current form and the provider. Existing fixture and form evidence was reviewed alongside the output; no unsupported availability claim has been added. Read the methodology and accuracy record before comparing these picks with your own.
Injuries and availability
City's official derby preview schedules the manager's press conference for Friday 11 September at 10:30 BST. That press conference was not incorporated into this model rerun, so the 1–2 City pick must not be mistaken for a forecast based on confirmed derby availability. The same club preview recalls United winning the previous Old Trafford meeting: another reason to keep the away selection cautious.
No complete official league-wide injury list was available at the 10 September check. Club press conferences and official match previews remain the correct source for named absences. Social posts without club or competition confirmation are not treated as team news. Readers should return close to the deadline for the final update.
What matters for predictors
- Liverpool have the clearest home-form contrast, with a revised 1–0 selection rather than a guaranteed clean sheet.
- Manchester City lead the derby baseline; Manchester United's home venue prevents an automatic large away call.
- Hull's seven points deserve genuine weight at Chelsea rather than being dismissed as promotion noise.
- Tottenham–Everton and Bournemouth–Brentford carry meaningful draw risk from the first three rounds.
Sources reviewed
- Official Premier League 2026/27 fixture list
- Premier League Gameweek 4 fixture page
- Sky Sports: Leeds United 4–1 Newcastle United
Fact-check date: 10 September 2026 for fixture, form and availability reporting. Model predictions were revised separately on 11 September; confirmed lineups are not incorporated.
Prediction revision: 11 September 2026. Scores and probabilities above replace the pre-kickoff v3.1 selections; the earlier capture remains archived. No started fixture or recorded result was changed.
Results update: 16 September 2026. Leeds United 4–1 Newcastle United completed the round; the original 0–1 prediction remains preserved as a miss.