Premier League · Gameweek 5
Gameweek 5 completed
Premier League GW5 Results and Prediction Review
All 10 Premier League Gameweek 5 finals verified. 5 published predictions got the result right.
By Jim · Updated
Premier League Gameweek 5: all 10 final scores were verified on 21 September 2026. 5 published predictions got the result right; none matched the exact score.
The production fixture record links every final below to a verified API-Football fixture ID. The predictions and methodology labels published before kickoff remain unchanged, so this review can be audited against the prediction-results archive.
Verified results
| Fixture | Published prediction | Final score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford v Chelsea | 2–1 | 3–0 | Correct result |
| Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa | 0–1 | 2–3 | Correct result |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal | 0–1 | 3–0 | Miss |
| Everton v Ipswich Town | 2–1 | 1–0 | Correct result |
| Newcastle United v Hull City | 1–2 | 2–1 | Miss |
| Nottingham Forest v Coventry City | 1–0 | 0–1 | Miss |
| Bournemouth v Liverpool | 1–2 | 0–1 | Correct result |
| Leeds United v Crystal Palace | 2–1 | 0–0 | Miss |
| Manchester City v Sunderland | 1–0 | 5–3 | Correct result |
| Fulham v Manchester United | 1–2 | 1–1 | Miss |
Original preview — published before kickoff
Premier League Gameweek 5 runs from Friday 18 to Sunday 20 September 2026. Brentford v Chelsea opens the round, while Bournemouth v Liverpool, Manchester City v Sunderland and Fulham v Manchester United make up Sunday's finish. This final fixture guide includes a reviewed, frozen score prediction for every confirmed match.
The official Premier League season fixture list supplies the ten pairings. Fixture times can still change, so the competition page and the deadline displayed inside ScoreSocial remain the final checks before a player submits picks.
Gameweek 5 at a glance
- Friday opener: Brentford v Chelsea.
- Saturday focus: Brighton host Arsenal and Tottenham face Aston Villa.
- Promoted clubs: Hull visit Newcastle, Coventry travel to Nottingham Forest and Ipswich go to Everton.
- Sunday finish: Liverpool, Manchester City and Manchester United are all in action.
- Prediction status: all fixture scores are now published below after provider verification and editorial review.
Open the Premier League prediction league, compare the completed Gameweek 4 review, or check the public prediction record.
What matters this gameweek?
Premier League Gameweek 5 starts with Brentford–Chelsea on Friday 18 September and finishes with three Sunday fixtures. The official league list confirms all ten pairings, including Brighton–Arsenal, Bournemouth–Liverpool and Manchester City–Sunderland. The Gameweek 5 page also confirms the sequence. The Friday opener matters operationally because one early kickoff can close a full ScoreSocial card before most weekend lineups are known. Three promoted teams face away tests: Hull at Newcastle, Coventry at Nottingham Forest and Ipswich at Everton. This page now publishes a frozen exact-score prediction for every verified fixture. ScoreSocial's public method requires the active provider fixture, current-season evidence and a reviewed recommendation before a score becomes part of the immutable results archive. Those checks have now passed; the verified schedule, frozen scores and uncertainty labels appear below. Players should confirm the in-app deadline rather than infer it from Sunday's headline matches.
Confirmed fixture card
Friday 18 September: Brentford v Chelsea.
Saturday 19 September: Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa; Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal; Everton v Ipswich Town; Leeds United v Crystal Palace; Newcastle United v Hull City; Nottingham Forest v Coventry City.
Sunday 20 September: Bournemouth v Liverpool; Manchester City v Sunderland; Fulham v Manchester United.
The Premier League fixture announcement remains the authority if broadcast selections or other scheduling changes are announced.
Fixture-by-fixture outlook
Brentford v Chelsea
Brentford have home advantage, but the model sees almost nothing between the teams: 34% for a Brentford win, 32% for a draw and 34% for a Chelsea win. The 2-1 Brentford prediction is therefore a cautious score call, not a strong view against Chelsea.
Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa
Villa have the narrowest edge: 38% for an away win compared with 37% for a draw. The 0-1 prediction is a low-confidence pick, with a level game almost as likely as a Villa victory.
Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal
Arsenal lead the result forecast at 41%, with the draw on 36%. The 0-1 prediction expects a tight away win rather than a comfortable Arsenal result.
Everton v Ipswich Town
Everton have the clearer advantage at 48%, while Ipswich are on 21% and the draw is on 31%. The 2-1 prediction still allows for an Ipswich goal and reflects a modest home edge.
Leeds United v Crystal Palace
Leeds have a 52% home-win probability after their 4-1 victory over Newcastle. The 2-1 prediction gives them one of the round's stronger home edges, although the young season keeps confidence low.
Newcastle United v Hull City
Hull edge the forecast at 41%, ahead of the draw on 33% and Newcastle on 26%. The 1-2 prediction is one of the round's less conventional calls and remains low confidence.
Nottingham Forest v Coventry City
Forest lead at 44%, with the draw still high at 38%. The 1-0 prediction fits that cautious view; this is closer than a simple home-favourite label suggests.
Bournemouth v Liverpool
Liverpool are the leading outcome at 41%, while the draw remains close at 33%. The 1-2 prediction expects Liverpool to edge a competitive game rather than dominate it.
Manchester City v Sunderland
City have the round's clearest advantage at 59%, with Sunderland on 8% and the draw on 33%. The 1-0 prediction expects City to control the result while keeping the goal estimate conservative.
Fulham v Manchester United
United lead at 41%, with Fulham on 27% and the draw on 32%. The 1-2 prediction gives United a narrow away edge, not a comfortable win.
ScoreSocial fixture predictions
Jim reviewed and froze these editorial-score-v3.2 recommendations on 16 September 2026. The percentages describe the home/draw/away result view, while the exact score is a narrower editorial selection. Most calls remain low confidence because the season is young.
| Fixture | Predicted score | Evidence and confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford v Chelsea | 2-1 | Model: H 34% / D 32% / A 34% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa | 0-1 | Model: H 25% / D 37% / A 38% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal | 0-1 | Model: H 23% / D 36% / A 41% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Everton v Ipswich Town | 2-1 | Model: H 48% / D 31% / A 21% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Newcastle United v Hull City | 1-2 | Model: H 26% / D 33% / A 41% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Nottingham Forest v Coventry City | 1-0 | Model: H 44% / D 38% / A 18% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Bournemouth v Liverpool | 1-2 | Model: H 26% / D 33% / A 41% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Leeds United v Crystal Palace | 2-1 | Model: H 52% / D 32% / A 16% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Manchester City v Sunderland | 1-0 | Model: H 59% / D 33% / A 8% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
| Fulham v Manchester United | 1-2 | Model: H 27% / D 32% / A 41% · low confidence. The reviewed v3.2 distribution leads this exact score; thin early-season evidence keeps the call cautious. |
Every score is now part of the public prediction record and must not be changed after the first kickoff.
Injuries and availability
No unverified absence has been converted into a numerical input. Readers should check official club updates and the in-app card before the deadline; late team news can change the practical risk without changing this frozen public record.
What the evidence suggests for predictors
The result percentages are more informative than the exact score alone. A low-confidence 2-1 is a narrow choice inside a broad range of plausible outcomes. Use the published probabilities to see where a fixture has a clearer direction and where the draw remains close.
Sources reviewed
Fact-check date: 16 September 2026. Pairings, round dates and the published scores are verified and frozen; players should check the live ScoreSocial card for the entry deadline and any fixture changes.